SoftBank just reported its financial earnings for the quarter ended on the 30th of June, and as I am writing, its shares are trading 10% higher on the day to a fresh all-time high. 3 months ago, I wrote “SOFTBANK GOES ALL IN ON AI WITH THE LITTLE MONEY IT…
WHY, INSTEAD OF FIXING US PROBLEMS, FED RATE CUTS WILL WORSEN THEM
Exactly one year ago, a parade of “experts” was making the rounds on various popular TV networks advocating for a 75 basis point emergency FED rate cut to troubleshoot the crisis in the global JPY carry trade scheme. At that time, traders in the futures market priced a 60% probability…
HOW BIG TECH SPENDING SPREE MORE AND MORE RESEMBLES 2000s TELECOMS EPIC FAIL
This year alone, the total CAPEX on AI infrastructure from Big Tech companies is expected to reach 330 billion $, with Microsoft accounting for more than one-third of it, as per the latest results and projections. Where is all this money going to be spent? To buy chips and build…
HOW LONG WILL THE BOJ BE ABLE TO AVOID THE COLLAPSE OF A MAJOR FINANCIAL INSTITUTION?
It’s summer, and many traders are already enjoying their holidays and stock portfolio gains, which are growing every passing day, regardless of the circumstances. No matter that the underlying economies are falling more and more into a dark hole, a larger number of people are struggling to make ends meet,…
DB EARNINGS REPORT REVEALS HOW THE FED ISN’T THE ONLY REGULATOR HELPING BANKS TO HIDE THEIR LOSSES
Deutsche Bank just reported earnings for its Q2-25 and, of course, everything is awesome! Needless to say, Wall Street expectations have been beaten across the board. As I write, the stock is trading 6% higher on the day. As usual, everyone read the press release, and no one took the…
PLAYING WITH FIRE: TRUMP DANGEROUS PUSH FOR LOWER INTEREST RATES
There is no day now when we do not hear from either Lutnick, Bessent, or Trump himself a verbal broadside towards the Federal Reserve, where, let’s not forget, Donald Trump himself nominated the chairman. Why so much beef against Jerome “Burns” Powell? According to them, the FED should be cutting…
FOR ANOTHER QUARTER, BANKS WILL BE ALLOWED TO PRETEND EVERYTHING IS AWESOME
Q2-2025 earnings season for banks officially started with, what a surprise, JP Morgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo all beating Wall Street analysts’ expectations and once again bagging fat profits. Traders, though, aren’t so impressed so far with JPM and Citi trading flat while WFC is down 6% on the day…
HOW TURKEY ENGINEERED ITS OWN ECONOMIC COLLAPSE AND WHY JAPAN AND UK ARE FOLLOWING ON THE SAME FOOTSTEPS
The Turkish Lesson Turkey’s economic collapse didn’t happen by accident—it was the result of deliberate policy choices that ignored economic fundamentals in favor of political doctrine. For years, President Erdoğan pursued a radical economic experiment that became known as “Erdoganomics”. This strategy was built on the belief that high interest…
LIQUIDITY CRACKS WIDEN IN THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL HOUSE OF CARDS
Almost 10 months ago, I wrote the article “MOUNTING SIGNS OF LIQUIDITY PROBLEMS AMONG LARGE US AND UK BANKS” to highlight several elements pointing toward a buildup of liquidity problems in the banking sector. Three elements were particularly noteworthy at the time: Last week, something very interesting happened again: banks…
2025 FED STRESS TEST REVEALS HOW TODAY’S FED IS COMPLICIT IN HIDING BANKS’ PROBLEMS
The Federal Reserve just released the results of its 2025 round of stress testing on 22 major US banks, and personally, I have never come across something more ridiculous and hypocritical. Let’s start with the fact that the FED itself admits how it found it appropriate to make this year’s…